whatwonderfullworld.com – The Indonesian Elections Study Institute (LKPI) conducted a survey to find out where people’s preferences are going in the 2024 General Election. Which political party is likely to win the most votes in the next election?
This survey was conducted on 12-28 January 2022 involving 1,982 respondents in 34 provinces spread proportionally by taking respondents at polling stations and respondents from the entire population who were at least 17 years old or married. The method used is multistage random sampling. The margin of error in this survey is below 2.21 percent with a 95 percent confidence level.
LKPI Executive Director Kristin Ervina revealed, based on survey data, a number of figures are expected to compete in the 2024 presidential election.
“The public’s preference is that if the presidential election were to be held today, the name Airlangga Hartarto would be the strongest candidate for the Indonesian president, where as many as 15.3 percent of respondents chose Airlangga Hartarto through open questions,” Kristin said in a statement, Thursday (3/2/2022).
Kristin continued, the second strongest candidate based on the answers of 14.7 percent of respondents was the Governor of Central Java Ganjar Pranowo and in third place the Minister of Defense Prabowo Subianto who was chosen as much as 14.3 percent. Furthermore, in fourth place, Head of KSP Moeldoko 8.9 percent, General Chairperson of PKB Muhaimin Iskandar 4.9 percent. Then the names of governors who are still in office are also included in the list, namely Khofifah Indar Parawansa 3.9 percent, Anies Baswedan 3.7 percent, and Ridwan Kamil 3.5 percent.
“Furthermore, DPR RI Speaker Puan Maharani 3.3 percent and Minister of Tourism and Creative Economy Sandiaga Uno are in sixth position with a percentage of 2.7 percent. Then, followed by the son of the former president of the Republic of Indonesia, namely Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono with a respondent’s vote of 2.7 percent. 2.2 percent and SOE Minister Erick Thohir 1.5 percent and those who didn’t give a choice were 21.1 percent,” he explained.
The same thing is found in closed questions by being given a simulation of the names on a questionnaire paper by being asked the question: “If the presidential election were held today, which character listed above would be chosen?”. The strongest candidate selected in this survey is Airlangga Hartarto with 19.7 percent. In second place was achieved by Ganjar Pranowo 15.2 percent, Prabowo Subianto 14.8 percent, Head of KSP Moeldoko 8.7 percent, and Muhaimin Iskandar 3.9 percent.
Furthermore, Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono 3.8 percent, Anies Baswedan 3.4 percent, Khofifah Indarparawansa 3.3 percent, Puan Maharani 2.7 percent, Ridwan Kamil 1.9 percent, Sandiaga Uno 1.8 percent, Erick Thohir 1.7 percent and other figures as much as 6.2 percent, as well as those who did not give a choice as much as 12.9 percent
Meanwhile, when asked openly to selected respondents if the Legislative Member Election was held today, which candidates and political parties would be elected, the survey results found the Golkar Party (Golkar) to be the top choice with an electability of 13.2 percent. followed by PDI-P with 12.4 percent.